TL;DR — 🔴 PASS
Score: 3/10 | Expected EN preorder: ~$50 | Estimated EN release: 2026-Q3
Weak IP signals, unfavorable EN trend, or poor JP EV. Not worth the preorder risk at current expected pricing.
IP Strength — Strong
Assessment: Anime member count 1,070,226 > 500k
Anime
- Title: The Quintessential Quintuplets
- MAL Rank: #1716
- Score: 7.62 / 10
- Members: 1,070,226
- Favorites: 14,707
- Popularity Rank: #172
- Status: Finished Airing (12 episodes)
Manga / Light Novel
- Title: The Quintessential Quintuplets
- MAL Rank: #1214
- Score: 7.9 / 10
- Members: 178,481
- Status: Finished
Historical EN Performance
Trend: Mild Dip (avg -16.1% vs preorder)
Prior EN sets average -16.1% vs preorder. Moderate dip — waiting 30–60 days post-release typically yields a better entry.
| Set | Type | Preorder | Current Box | Change | ROI | Post-Fee ROI | Post-Fee XIRR | Age | Competitive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Quintessential Quintuplets | Standard | $68 | $64 | -5% | -5% | -16% | -3.8%/yr | 1,696d | Low |
| The Quintessential Quintuplets ∬ | Standard | $65 | $48 | -27% | -27% | -36% | -11.3%/yr | 1,339d | Low |
Post-Fee ROI and XIRR assume TCGPlayer seller fees of 11.75% (10.25% marketplace + 1.5% payment processing). XIRR is the annualized return rate — what you’d earn per year if you bought at preorder and sold today. Extra Booster sets not directly comparable to standard boosters.
Japanese Set Analysis (5HY/W101)
JP Release: 2023-09-29 | Estimated JP Box EV: ¥1,388 (~$9 USD)
EV vs EN Preorder: JP box EV $9 is significantly below expected EN preorder. EV does not support preorder.
AGR (autograph/signed) rarities are excluded from EV — they do not appear in English prints.
Rarity Breakdown
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Price | Box EV Contribution | Excluded from EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ? | 10 | ¥1,612 ($10.80) | ¥81 | No |
| HYR | 5 | ¥4,180 ($28.01) | ¥418 | No |
| OFR | 10 | ¥5,780 ($38.73) | ¥289 | No |
| PR | 113 | ¥113 ($0.76) | ¥0 | No |
| R | 6 | ¥643 ($4.31) | ¥429 | No |
| S | 76 | ¥812 ($5.44) | ¥171 | No |
| SSP | 5 | ¥19,000 ($127.30) | ¥0 | Yes (AGR/signed) |
Top 10 Cards by Price (EN-eligible)
| # | Card Name | Rarity | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 一生の絆 一花＆二乃＆三玖＆四葉＆五月(箔押し入り) | S | ¥14,800 ($99.16) |
| 2 | 花束を君に 一花＆二乃＆三玖＆四葉＆五月(箔押し入り) | S | ¥14,800 ($99.16) |
| 3 | 羞花閉月 中野 三玖 | OFR | ¥9,980 ($66.87) |
| 4 | 羞花閉月 中野 四葉 | OFR | ¥7,980 ($53.47) |
| 5 | 理想の教師像 | OFR | ¥7,980 ($53.47) |
| 6 | 遠慮はしない | OFR | ¥7,980 ($53.47) |
| 7 | 密かな猛攻 | OFR | ¥6,980 ($46.77) |
| 8 | ありがとうの花 中野 四葉(箔押し入り) | HYR | ¥4,980 ($33.37) |
| 9 | ありがとうの花 中野 一花(箔押し入り) | HYR | ¥4,980 ($33.37) |
| 10 | ありがとうの花 中野 五月(箔押し入り) | HYR | ¥4,980 ($33.37) |
Prior JP Sets — SP Avg & EV History
| Set | Code | JP Release | Box EV | EX/SP Avg (× cards) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quintessential Quintuplets Vol.1 (JP) | 5HY/W83 | 2020-08-21 | ¥945 ($6) | N/A |
| Quintessential Quintuplets Vol.2 (JP) | 5HY/W90 | 2021-09-17 | ¥1,448 ($10) | N/A |
EX rarity on Yuyutei = EN-eligible SP/SSP equivalents. Helps gauge how this IP’s SP values trend over time.
Competitive Standing — Low
Score contribution: 0/2
Quintuplets has minimal BCS competitive presence. Purely collector-driven. The movie set will feature wedding/finale content which historically drives high SP demand.
Series & Future Demand Outlook
Series Status: Completed | Future EN Sets Expected: No
The Quintessential Quintuplets manga concluded in February 2020 and the movie ‘Fine~’ (December 2022 JP) is the definitive finale covering the wedding arc. The IP is fully concluded — no sequel, continuation, or new adaptation is expected.
Completed IPs with strong cultural footprint tend to retain collector value well once supply clears the initial market. The five quintuplet waifus have a durable fanbase. However, the absence of new content means no demand spikes from future seasons.
Demand impact: Completed IP — no future catalyst events, but also no dilution from new sets. Price ceiling is set by collector demand alone. The finale movie content (wedding SPs) is likely to be the most sought-after in the entire IP lineup.
Recommendation: 🔴 PASS
Total Score: 3/10
| Dimension | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| IP Strength | 3/3 | Strong — Anime member count 1,070,226 > 500k |
| EN Trend | 1/3 | Mild Dip — Prior EN sets average -16.1% vs preorder. Moderate dip — waiting 30–60 days post… |
| JP EV Signal | -1/2 | Negative — JP box EV $9 is significantly below expected EN preorder. EV does not support pr… |
| Competitive | 0/2 | Low |
Weak IP signals, unfavorable EN trend, or poor JP EV. Not worth the preorder risk at current expected pricing.
Data Sources & Methodology
All prices are point-in-time snapshots taken 2026-05-10. Not financial advice.
- IP Data: MyAnimeList via Jikan v4 API
- Anime: MAL #38101
- Manga: MAL #103851
- Preorder Prices: Goldstar Collectibles via u/th8596 Reddit posts
- The Quintessential Quintuplets: $67.50 (estimated — Goldstar era pricing Sep 2021 (~$67.50/box for contemporaneous sets))
- The Quintessential Quintuplets ∬: $65.00 (estimated — Goldstar era pricing Sep 2022 (~$65/box, same era as Bocchi/Ayakashi))
- JP Card Prices: Yuyutei (scraped)
- EN Card Prices: TCGPlayer (scraped)
- Pull Rates: Bushiroad official product pages + community records
- Methodology: How we analyze sets →