TL;DR — 🔵 BUY
Score: 6/10 | Expected EN preorder: ~$50 | Estimated EN release: 2026-Q4
Solid signals overall. Preorder is reasonable. Minor risk factors present but not deal-breakers.
IP Strength — Strong
Assessment: Anime MAL rank #151 (top 500)
Anime
- Title: [Oshi No Ko]
- MAL Rank: #151
- Score: 8.53 / 10
- Members: 1,049,691
- Favorites: 31,509
- Popularity Rank: #176
- Status: Finished Airing (11 episodes)
Manga / Light Novel
- Title: [Oshi no Ko]
- MAL Rank: #761
- Score: 8.08 / 10
- Members: 219,016
- Status: Finished
Historical EN Performance
Trend: Stable (avg -3.7% vs preorder)
Prior EN sets average -3.7% vs preorder. Relatively stable — minimal dip risk.
| Set | Type | Preorder | Current Box | Change | ROI | Post-Fee ROI | Post-Fee XIRR | Age | Competitive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshi no Ko | Standard | $65 | $63 | -4% | -4% | -15% | -11.9%/yr | 471d | Low |
Post-Fee ROI and XIRR assume TCGPlayer seller fees of 11.75% (10.25% marketplace + 1.5% payment processing). XIRR is the annualized return rate — what you’d earn per year if you bought at preorder and sold today. Extra Booster sets not directly comparable to standard boosters.
Japanese Set Analysis (OSK/S116)
JP Release: 2025-09-26 | Estimated JP Box EV: Data not available
EV vs EN Preorder: EV comparison data unavailable.
AGR (autograph/signed) rarities are excluded from EV — they do not appear in English prints.
Rarity Breakdown
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Price | Box EV Contribution | Excluded from EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Card data not yet available |
Top 10 Cards by Price (EN-eligible)
| # | Card Name | Rarity | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Data not yet fetched |
Prior JP Sets — SP Avg & EV History
| Set | Code | JP Release | Box EV | EX/SP Avg (× cards) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshi no Ko Vol.1 (JP) | OSK/S94 | 2023-09-22 | N/A | N/A |
EX rarity on Yuyutei = EN-eligible SP/SSP equivalents. Helps gauge how this IP’s SP values trend over time.
Competitive Standing — Low
Score contribution: 0/2
Oshi no Ko has minimal EN WS competitive presence. The IP is purely collector-driven. Strong single-character demand (Ai, Ruby, Aqua SPs command significant premiums).
Series & Future Demand Outlook
Series Status: Completed | Future EN Sets Expected: No
The Oshi no Ko manga concluded in Fall 2024. Anime Season 2 adapted the manga’s later arcs. With the source material complete and the story concluded, no further major adaptations are expected beyond any remaining anime seasons covering the ending.
Despite being a completed IP, Oshi no Ko had one of the fastest rises in WS collector demand of any recent IP. The ‘Ai’ SP from Vol.1 is a landmark card. Completion of the story may actually strengthen collector demand for the final sets by cementing the IP’s cultural moment.
Demand impact: Completed IP with extremely strong cultural imprint. The conclusion of the manga/anime likely creates a ‘final edition’ premium for Vol.2 — last chance to get new content cards. Watch for post-completion price appreciation similar to what re:Zero experienced after anime arcs concluded.
Recommendation: 🔵 BUY
Total Score: 6/10
| Dimension | Score | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| IP Strength | 3/3 | Strong — Anime MAL rank #151 (top 500) |
| EN Trend | 2/3 | Stable — Prior EN sets average -3.7% vs preorder. Relatively stable — minimal dip risk…. |
| JP EV Signal | 1/2 | Neutral — … |
| Competitive | 0/2 | Low |
Solid signals overall. Preorder is reasonable. Minor risk factors present but not deal-breakers.
Data Sources & Methodology
All prices are point-in-time snapshots taken 2026-05-10. Not financial advice.
- IP Data: MyAnimeList via Jikan v4 API
- Anime: MAL #52034
- Manga: MAL #126146
- Preorder Prices: Goldstar Collectibles via u/th8596 Reddit posts
- Oshi no Ko: $65.00
- JP Card Prices: Yuyutei (scraped)
- EN Card Prices: TCGPlayer (scraped)
- Pull Rates: Bushiroad official product pages + community records
- Methodology: How we analyze sets →